04-05-2024 Technical Update DJIA & S&P 500

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (by Intraday Dynamics)

Major Indices Week of April 5, 2024

VIX Volatility Index Daily Close

DJIA Daily Candles

Stocks got a dose of the start of this critical cycle timing window as prices seesawed through some wide ranges in manic trade. Thursday’s timing saw a whipsaw trade of over 2% for the Dow and the S&P and was outlined in the short-term update here. The 2-minute chart shows haw crazy trade was late last week. Both the Dow and the S&P left islands on the charts, the S&P backtracked and filled in the gap, but the Dow still has a gap area left from last weeks trade. As the short-term update pointed out, islands tend to occur more often than not around highs than lows. With sloping oscillators and a significant shift in price and time, the island is a major warning sign…. For now. We still have weeks of extremely critical timing to move through and things can continue to be volatile.

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Journal

VMSI INDEX

Volatility Deceives as AI Leadership Advances and the 7–10 Treasury Belly Tightens

Abstract Volatility is no longer telling the truth — the structure is. Under the surface, the cross-asset geometry has shifted ...
VMSI INDEX

A Synthetic Recession Warning: Markets Turn Defensive Even as the Indexes Whipsaw

Abstract Markets are no longer focused on inflation — policy error and growth risk are now the real threats. Under ...
VMSI INDEX

THE MARKET IS TERRIFIED — THE SYSTEM ISN’T

Liquidity Is Holding the Line While Pricing in a Scare, Not a Break. Abstract Markets behaved this week as though ...