No Market Surprise Today as the Federal Reserve Remains Tough on Inflation

MARKETS

All Indexes opened down on Wall Street on Monday, adding to further losses as the Federal Reserve stays focused on raising interest rates. The Fed’s last two hikes have been by 0.75 points, and Wall Street is expecting a third .75 point increase in September.

Index performance this morning  

The S&P 500 down 0.7% as of 11:30 a.m. Eastern. 74% of stocks in the benchmark index in the red. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 164 points, or 0.5% to 32,120 and the Nasdaq fell 0.97%.

Sector performance

Energy stocks with most gains and Technolgy stocks leading the downward trend.

Treasury Rates

The yield on the 10-year Treasury rose to 3.10% from 3.03% late Friday.

Our assessment of the week ahead market performance  

Look for a midweek recovery but be cautious as we make our way into in October as the economy will slow as rate hike adjustments lag begins to affect consumer and company spending.

Newsworthy stuff includes…

  • Tuesday, Consumer confidence index, New York Fed President John Williams speaks
  • Wednesday, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic speaks
  • Thursday,  Initial jobless claims, ISM manufacturing index
  • Friday, Unemployment rate, Factory orders

BIG PICTURE

Key market makers will continue to move to cash and further liquidate unprofitable positions throughout the 3rd Quarter.

Leave a Comment

Journal

VMSI INDEX

Capital Turns a Corner: Institutions Begin to Lean In

VMSI Climbs to 52.7 as Institutions Shift Toward Cautious Optimism June 5, 2025 | VICA Research VICA Partners Research’s VMSI ...
RESEARCH

Why the Debt Alarm Is the Best News for Long-Term Investors in a Decade

By VICA Partners | June 2025 Every few years, financial headlines rediscover U.S. government debt. The tone is always urgent. ...
News

Cautious Confidence Builds as VMSI Brushes Recovery Line

Cautious Optimism Builds as Defensive Posture Persists May 30, 2025 | VICA Research VICA Partners Research’s VMSI © shows where ...