Dow fell 390 points today as volatile earnings are driving market activity

MARKETS TODAY Jan 17 (Vica Partners)

DOW (^DJI) 33,911 (-392), S&P 500 (^GSPC) 3,991 (-8), Nasdaq (^IXIC) 11,095 (+16), Russell 2000 (^RUT) 1,884 (-3), NYSE FANG+ (^NYFANG) 4,824 (+45), Brent Crude $86.57/barrel (+$2.11), Gold $1,908/oz (-$10), Bitcoin $21.3k (+$205)

Session Overview

  • Russel 2000 small-cap index up >7% this year and outpacing the S&P 500 YTD >4%
  • Earnings are driving market activity as the Dow underperformed today following Goldman Sachs Group earnings where they reported a 69 percent drop in fourth-quarter profits
  • 6 of 11 S&P 500 Sectors lower: Cyclicals for the most part underperformed, Real Estate and Consumer Staples led.
  • Longer term yields moved higher following as The NY Empire State Manufacturing Index fell to its lowest reading since May of 2020
  • Chinese economic data topped estimates while Tesla’s China EV registrations jumped after big price cuts. Tesla up, 7.43% and boosting the FANG+ index
  • Oil jumps, Brent moving back towards $90

Technicals/ Sector Performance/ Yields+

The Nasdaq and FANG+ were up on the day while the S&P 500 closed down 0.20% and the Dow Jones Industrial fell 1.14%.

5 of 11 of S&P 500 Sectors were higher today

The best performing sectors were the Real Estate and Consumer Staples up 0.63% and 0.31% respectively. Materials and Communication Services were the largest decliners, down 0.89% and 0.47% respectively.

Yields mostly up: US – 2yr to 4.205% -, 5yr to 3.619% +, 10yr to 3.549% +, 30yr to 3.661%+

Greed Index Rating 65/ Greed

U.S Economic News

  • United States NY Empire State Manufacturing Index; the index fell to -32.9 in January of 2023, the lowest reading since May of 2020, from -11.2 in December, and well below market forecasts of -9. The reading pointed to the fifth worst contraction ever in business activity in the NY state, as new orders (-31.1 vs -3.6 in December) and shipments (-22.4 vs 5.3) declined substantially.

Other Asset Classes:

  • CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX): -0.13 to 19.36
  • USD index: +$0.17 to $102.37
  • Oil prices – Brent: +2.50% to $86.57, WTI: +1.35% to $80.94, Nat Gas: +6.64% to 3.646
  • Gold: +0.51% to $1,908.35, Silver: -1.53% to $23.93, Copper: +0.43% to $4.23
  • Bitcoin: +0.97% to $21.3k

News  

  • Microsoft to cut thousands of jobs across divisions – reports reuters
  • ECB staff losing faith in leadership as inflation bites, survey shows reuters
  • Big Oil’s good times set to roll on after record 2022 profits reuters
  • Netflix set for slowest revenue growth as ad plan struggles to gain traction reuters

 

Vica Momentum Stock Report

DoubleDown Interactive (DDI) $DDI. (Momentum Grade B+) (Value A) (Growth C) 5 Day Average +21.41%, 20 Day Average +14.79%, 50 Day Average +4.27%

 

DoubleDown Interactive Co. Ltd. is a developer and publisher of digital social casino games and is based in Seattle.

 

 

 

Market Outlook

Market Outlook and updates posted at vicapartners.com

Journal

News

VMSI Edges Up to 25.2, But Market Remains Deep in Risk-Off Territory

What is VMSI? The VICA Market Sentiment Index tracks institutional capital flows, risk posture, and macro volatility weekly. Built for ...
News

Institutional Allocators Aren’t Watching Volatility—They’re Designing Into It

VICA Partners Intelligence | April 2025 A regime transition in capital allocation is underway—and the smartest money is leading the ...
News

VMSI Drops to 22.4 as Risk-Off Accelerates and Volatility Deepens

VMSI Gauge Chart — Displaying Current Sentiment and Risk Level The VMSI gauge indicates a current sentiment score of 22.4, ...