Wall Street Ends Lower as Market Reprices No Fed Rate Cuts, ISM Services Report Renews Recession Fears

MARKETS TODAY June 5nd, 2023 (Vica Partners)

Last Friday, US Markets finished sharply higher, S&P 500 +1.45%, DOW +2.12% and the Nasdaq +1.07%. All 11 of the S&P 500 sectors higher: Materials +3.37% outperforms/ Communication Services +0.10% lags. On the upside, Russell 2k Treasury Yields, USD Index, Oil and Bitcoin. In economic news, headline Jobs numbers easily beat forecasts, the unemployment rate missed while wages showed deceleration.

Overnight/US Premarket, Asian markets finished higher, Japan’s Nikkei 225 +2.20% Hong Kong’s Hang Seng +0.84% and China’s Shanghai Composite +0.07%. US S&P futures were trading at 0.2% above fair value. European markets finished lower, France’s CAC 40 -0.96%, Germany’s DAX -0.54% and London’s FTSE 100 -0.10%.

Today US Markets finished lower, S&P 500 -0.20%, DOW -0.59% and the Nasdaq -0.09%. 8 of 11 of the S&P 500 sectors lower: Communication Services +0.58% outperforms/ Industrials -0.71% lags. On the upside, FANG+, Gold and Brent Crude In economic news, S&P Global US Composite PMI for May in line with expectations, S&P Global US Services PMI came in light and ISM Services PMI misses.

Takeaways

  • Mixed economic news out today, ISM renews recession fears
  • FANG+, up 0.63%
  • 8 of 11 of the S&P 500 sectors lower: Communication Services +0.58% outperforms/ Industrials -0.71% lags.
  • SPDR S&P Banking ETF (KRE) >-2.5%
  • Tesla (TSLA) +>10% over past 5 days
  • Yields decline on ISM Services
  • Brent Oil rises

Pro Tip: will be back tomorrow/ Mega Cap Weekly below

Sectors/ Commodities/ Treasuries         

Key Indexes (50d, 100d, 200d)

S&P Sectors

  • 8 of 11 of the S&P 500 sectors lower: Communication Services +0.58%, Health Care +0.38% outperform/ Industrials -0.71%, Energy -0.58% lag.

Commodities

Factors (YTD)

US Treasuries

 Notable Earnings Today  

  • +Beat: Science Applications (SAIC), Gitlab (GTLB), Healthequity Inc (HQY), Sprinklr (CXM)
  • Miss: Allego US (ALLG)
  • * Strong support – NVIDIA (NVDA), Meta Platforms (META), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG,GOOGL), Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Tesla (TSLA), Taiwan Semi (TSM), ASML Holding NV (ASML), UI Path (PATH)

Economic Data

US

  • S&P U.S. services PMI; period May, act 54.9, fc 55.1, prev. 55.1
  • Factory orders; period April, act 0.4%, fc 0.6%. prev. 0.6%
  • ISM services; period May, act 50.3%, fc 52.3%. prev. 51.9%

News

Company News

  • SEC Says Binance Misused Customer Funds, Ran Illegal Crypto Exchange in U.S. – WSJ
  • Intel to Raise About $1.5 Billion in Sale of Part of Mobileye – Bloomberg

Energy/ Materials

  • Saudi Output Cut to Boost Oil Prices Could Be Costly – WSJ

Central Banks/Inflation/Labor Market

  • Big Banks Could Face 20% Boost to Capital Requirements – WSJ
  • A $1.5 Trillion Backstop for Homebuyers Props Up Banks Instead – Bloomberg

China

  • Charting the Global Economy: Business Activity Slows in China – Bloomberg

Journal

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