US Indices Rally on CPI Data Beat, Materials Jump on China Stimulus News

MARKETS TODAY June 13th, 2023 (Vica Partners)

On Monday, US markets finished higher, S&P 500 +0.93%, DOW +0.56% and the Nasdaq +1.53%. 8 of 11 of the S&P 500 sectors advancing: Information Technology +2.07% outperforms/ Energy -0.97% lags. On the upside, NY FANG+, iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) and the USD Index. In economic news scheduled today, the Federal deficit for the month of May was mostly in line with estimates.

Overnight/US Premarket, Asian markets finished higher, Japan’s Nikkei 225 +1.80%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng +0.60% and China’s Shanghai Composite +0.15%. European markets finished higher, Germany’s DAX +0.83%, France’s CAC 40 +0.56% and London’s FTSE 100 +0.46%. US S&P futures were trading at 0.5% above fair value.

Today US Markets finished higher, S&P 500 +0.69%, DOW +0.43% and the Nasdaq +0.83%. 10 of 11 of the S&P 500 sectors advancing: Materials +2.33% outperforms/ Utilities -0.06% lags. On the upside, Russell 2k, SPDR S&P Banking ETF (KRE), Treasury Yields, Oil and the Bloomberg Commodity Index. In economic news, Headline CPI showed significant deceleration on both a monthly and annual basis while Core-CPI was no was inline with estimates.

Takeaways

  • Headline CPI showed sharp deceleration
  • Russell 2000 (RUT) +1.23%, Small Cap stocks deliver
  • SPDR S&P Banking ETF (KRE), up 2.3%
  • Materials leads upside on China stimulus news
  • 10 of 11 of the S&P 500 sectors higher: Materials +2.33% outperforms/ Utilities -0.06% lags.
  • Oil Futures jump >3%
  • Fed 0% chance of June rate hike

Pro Tip: The global oilfield services and equipment rental market is great demand had one of its most profitable years in 2022. Vica is forecasting double digit sector growth in Q3/4.

Sectors/ Commodities/ Treasuries         

Key Indexes (50d, 100d, 200d)

S&P Sectors

  • 10 of 11 of the S&P 500 sectors higher: Materials +2.33%, Industrials +1.16% outperform/ Utilities -0.06% lags.

Commodities

Factor/ Mega Cap Growth Chart (YTD)

US Treasuries

Notable Earnings Today  

  • +Beat: Burford (BUR)
  • Miss:
  • * Strong support – NVIDIA (NVDA), Meta Platforms (META), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG,GOOGL), Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Tesla (TSLA), Taiwan Semi (TSM), ASML Holding NV (ASML). UI Path Inc. (PATH)

Economic Data

US

  • NFIB optimism index; period May, act 89.4, fc 88.3. prior 89
  • Consumer price index; period May. act 0.1%, fc 0.1%, prior 0.4%
  • Core CPI; period May, act 0.4%, fc 0.4%, prior 0.4%
  • CPI year over year; act 4.0%, fc 4.0%. prior 4.9%
  • Core CPI year over year; act 3%, fc 5.3%, prior 5.5%
  • Fed rate decision Wednesday

News

Company News

  • Binance Emergency Fund Dwindles as SEC Takes Aim at the Crypto Exchange – WSJ
  • Arm Courts Intel as Anchor Investor in Upcoming IPO – Bloomberg
  • BlackRock’s Japan ETF Lures $1 Billion as Nikkei Rally Powers On – Bloomberg

Energy/ Materials

  • OPEC Crude Production Slumps as Voluntary Cuts Bite – WSJ
  • UK’s Centrica Warns More Gas Storage Needed for Energy Security – Bloomberg

 Central Banks/Inflation/Labor Market

  • CPI Report Shows Inflation Has Been Cut in Half From Last Year’s Peak – WSJ
  • Asian Stocks Primed to Rise as US Inflation Slows: Markets Wrap – Bloomberg

China/ Asia

  • Yuan Under Pressure as U.S., China Rates Set to Diverge Further – WSJ
  • China’s Property Tycoons Remain in Charge Even as Empires Fall – Bloomberg

Journal

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