Stocks Will Remain Volatile Ahead of CPI Wednesday Reports

GOVERNMENT REPORT SERIES

Background: The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the average change in the prices paid for a market basket of goods and services. These items are purchased for consumption by the two groups covered by the index: All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) and Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, (CPI-W).

Expect that the market will be pricing-in the impact of worsening inflation on corporate profits early this week.

 

Market Today 7-11-22

U.S. stocks this morning declined as consumer price index reports are due out on Wednesday and earnings season is kicks off this week.

 

Weekly Calendar

TIME (ET)       REPORT         PERIOD          ACTUAL            MEDIAN FORECAST PREVIOUS

 

MONDAY, JULY 11

11 am  3-year inflation expectations   June                —            3.9%

2 pm    New York Fed President John Williams discusses move away from LIBOR

 

TUESDAY, JULY 12                                           

6 am    NFIB small-business index     June                93.0     93.1

12:30 pm         Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin speaks

 

WEDNESDAY, JULY 13                                                

8:30 am           Consumer price index (monthly)            June                1.1%    1.0%

8:30 am           Core CPI (monthly)     June                0.5%    0.6%

8:30 am           CPI (year-over-year)   June                8.8%    8.6%

8:30 am           Core CPI (year-over-year)      June                5.7%    6.0%

2 pm    Beige book

2 pm    Federal budget (comparison vs. year-ago)            June                —          -$174 billion

 

THURSDAY, JULY 14                                                   

8:30 am           Producer price index final demand (monthly)         June                0.8%    0.8%

8:30 am           Initial jobless claims    July 9               234,000           235,000

8:30 am           Continuing jobless claims       July 2               —          1.38 million

11 am  Fed Gov. Chris Waller speaks

 

FRIDAY, JULY 15                                              

8:30 am           Retail sales     June                0.9%    -0.3%

8:30 am           Retail sales excluding vehicles            June                0.5%    0.5%

8:30 am           Import price index       June                0.7%    0.6%

8:30 am           Empire state manufacturing index            July                  -1.0      -1.2

8:45 am           Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic speaks

9:15 am           Industrial production index      June                0.1%    0.1%

9:15 am           Capacity utilization      June                80.5%  80.8%

10 am  UMich consumer sentiment index (preliminary)            July                  50.2     50.0

10 am  UMich 5-year inflation expectations (preliminary)    July                  —          3.1%

10 am  Business inventories   May                 1.2%            1.2%

 

 

 

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