Negative Market Headlines Always Perform Better

FACTS Research shows that headlines using negative words such as never and worst perform much better than those using positive words such as always and best. In fact they perform significantly better, with negative headlines performing 30% better than neutral ones and 60% better than positive headlines. The clearer the headline the better the conversion … Read more

Q2 Earnings Report Card, C+ To Date

MARKETS Through July 22nd, Q2 results for S&P 500 Companies … 106 companies (21% of the index’s total membership) Total earnings for these companies are down -6.9% on +7.2% higher revenues. 72% beating EPS estimates 63% beating revenue estimates.

U.S. Economic Growth Slowed in June, Chicago Fed (CFNAI)

GOVERNMENT REPORT The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) is a monthly index designed to better gauge overall economic activity and inflationary pressure. The index is composed of 85 economic indicators from four broad categories of data: production and income; employment, unemployment and hours; personal consumption and housing; and sales, orders and inventories. JUNE REPORT … Read more

Yield Curve Basics for Punks

101 SERIES The yield curve is a plot of the interest rate yields on debt instruments of different maturities, holding risk, liquidity and tax treatment constant. Research over the last decade has uncovered predictive relationships between the slope of the yield curve and subsequent real activity and inflation. The U.S. Treasury yield curve compares the … Read more

Vica Partners “Momentum Fund” is Up 39% Through June

PUBLIC RELATIONS Vica Partners Private “Momentum Fund” is up 38.77% Year to Date ending June, exceeding most Industry peers. In 2022 we continue beating the markets with our machine learning findings    As human knowledge and action can’t generate sustainable performance, non-human knowledge requires an alternate worldview. After 18 months of iterations our single proprietary … Read more

Early Strong Q2 Earnings Indicate a Soft Recession

MARKETS Today software services are driving Weekly index gains as Quarterly profits are beating Wall Street expectations. Last week Goldman Sachs lead earning leaders as the Financial Sector looks poised to support the recovery story.  Consumer Price Index data is key Consumers rose 1.3 percent, seasonally adjusted, and rose 9.1 percent over the last 12 … Read more

Why the Federal Reserve Confirmed the July 75-Basis-Point Interest Rate Increase

INVESTOR SERIES Federal Reserve officials signaled on Friday they will likely stick with a 75-basis-point interest rate increase at their July 26-27 meeting, though a recent high inflation reading could still warrant more, or faster, increases later in the year. Friday economic data Economic data released on Friday pushed against a rush to larger rate … Read more

Initial Claims Data Continue to Point to a Tight Labor Market with Upside

GORVEMENT REPORT SERIES In the week ending July 9, seasonally adjusted initial claims was 244,000, an increase of 9,000 from the previous week’s level of 235,000. The four week average has gone 14 consecutive weeks without a decline, however… Prior to last November initial claims remain low A tight labor market restricts consumer spending.   … Read more