Matthew Krumholz

 Kahneman’s Theories Aligned with VMSI Framework Introduction: The Psychology Trap: How Investors Are Missing 2025’s Best Opportunities In early 2025, defensive sector inflows increased 17% — yet sectors with stable fundamentals faced unjustified selloffs. Institutional investors quietly rotated back into growth sectors, revealing a significant disconnect between perception and reality. This emotional response has created … Read more

VICA Market Sentiment Index (VMSI) Report March 13, 2025 | VICA Research Current Market Sentiment VMSI Score: 46.7 (Defensive Sentiment) This week’s VMSI reflects market positioning marked by a reduction in institutional exposure and rising bond demand as investors respond to ongoing ETF outflows and volatility concerns. Outlook: Defensive positioning is expected to dominate, with … Read more

Trump’s Trade Gambit: What Business Leaders Must Know Beyond the Headlines Executive Summary Corporate leaders and investors face mounting pressure to manage risks as tariffs disrupt global trade patterns. Beyond media narratives, businesses must prepare for sustained volatility, inflation pressures, and potential supply chain breakdowns. This report distills actionable strategies for navigating these complexities, with … Read more

VICA Market Sentiment Index (VMSI) Report March 2025 | VICA Research Current Market Sentiment: Caution Zone VMSI Score: 34 (Defensive Sentiment) VMSI Timeline Previous Close: 36 1 Week Ago: 41 1 Month Ago: 54 1 Year Ago: 72 Last updated: March 7 at 10:29 AM EST VMSI Timeline Chart with Threshold Markers VMSI Indicator Breakdown … Read more

VICA Market Sentiment Index (VMSI): A New Era of Investor Insight March 2025 | VICA Research Introduction: Understanding Market Psychology Market sentiment is the invisible force driving financial markets—dictating risk appetite, liquidity flows, and institutional positioning. While traditional sentiment indicators like CNN’s Fear & Greed Index offer a broad snapshot, they fail to capture the … Read more

Stay Ahead with Exclusive Market Insights – Strategic Research & Actionable Guidance | March 4, 2025. This simplified summary provides investors with key insights and strategies based on our report for Executive Directors and Institutional Fund Managers, focusing on the market outlook for March 2025. Introduction As markets transition into 2025, March will be a … Read more

Stay Ahead with Exclusive Market Insights – Strategic Research & Guidance | February 25, 2025. Presented to Executive Directors and Institutional Fund ManagersDate: February 2025 Market Dynamics: Preparing for the Next Economic Shift As the macroeconomic landscape transitions from late expansion to early contraction, institutional investors are recalibrating their fixed-income allocations. Long-duration Treasury bond ETFs—ZROZ, … Read more

Stay Ahead with Exclusive Market Insights – Strategic Research & Guidance | February 24, 2025. The Great Liquidity Trap: Why Markets May Stagnate Even as the Fed Cuts Rates Introduction: The Liquidity Illusion Markets expect that as the Federal Reserve begins cutting rates in late 2025, risk assets will rally. This assumption is flawed. While … Read more

Stay Informed and Stay Ahead: Exclusive Research & Guidance, February 20th, 2025 Technical Article Objective: Dividend Investing in a Restrictive Fed Rate Cutting Cycle: Positioning for 2025-2026 Introduction As the Federal Reserve enters a restrictive rate-cutting cycle in late 2025, dividend investors must adapt. Unlike past cycles, where rate cuts fueled broad rallies, a slow, … Read more