Matthew Krumholz 
The opposite of “extrapolation bias” or “recency bias” is known as “mean reversion” or “regression to the mean.” Mean reversion suggests that extreme or outlier data points are likely to return to the average or historical norm over time. Instead of assuming that current trends will continue indefinitely, mean reversion recognizes that exceptional performance, whether … Read more
MARKETS TODAY May 17th, 2023 (Vica Partners) Yesterday US Markets finished lower, S&P 500 -0.64%, DOW -1.01% and the Nasdaq -0.18%. 10 of 11 of the S&P 500 sectors declined, Real Estate -2.30% and Energy -2.24% lagged/ Information Technology +0.09% outperformed. NYFANG+, Treasury Yields and the USD Index gained. In economic news, Retail sales increased … Read more
Quants, or quantitative analysts, can provide valuable insights and teach everyday investors a variety of concepts and strategies. Here are some key lessons that quants can offer to everyday investors: Risk Management: Quants understand the importance of managing risk effectively. They can teach investors how to assess and control risks in their investment portfolios, such … Read more
MARKETS TODAY May 16th, 2023 (Vica Partners) Yesterday US Markets finished moderately higher, S&P 500 +0.30%, DOW +0.14% and the Nasdaq +0.66%. 9 of 11 of the S&P 500 sectors advanced: Financials +1.25% outperformed/ Utilities -0.74% lagged. Treasury Yields, Gold, Bitcoin, Oil and the Bloomberg Commodity Index all gained. In economic news, the Empire State … Read more
MARKETS TODAY May 15th, 2023 (Vica Partners) Last Friday, US Markets finished marginally lower S&P 500 -0.16%, DOW -0.03% and the Nasdaq -0.35%. 9 of 11 of the S&P 500 sectors lower: Utilities +0.63% outperformed/ Financials -0.57% and Real Estate -0.52% lagged. Treasury Yields and the USD Index gained while Gold, Bitcoin and Oil declined. … Read more
MARKETS TODAY May 12th, 2023 (Vica Partners) Yesterday, US Markets finished mixed S&P 500 -0.17%, DOW -0.66% and the Nasdaq +0.18%. 8 of 11 of the S&P 500 sectors lower: Materials and Energy underperformed/ Communication Services outperformed. Mega cap growth tech continued to gain with NY FANG+ 0.90%. Treasury Yields, Gold, Bitcoin and Oil all … Read more
Firstly what is a good 5 year CAGR for an industry? A good CAGR for an industry is 8% to 12% for large companies, while for high-risk companies, a good CAGR is between 15% to 25%. CAGR stands for Compound Annual Growth Rate, a ratio to extrapolate a constant rate of return over several years. The … Read more
MARKETS TODAY May 11th, 2023 (Vica Partners) Yesterday, US Markets finished mixed S&P 500 +0.45%, DOW -0.17% and the Nasdaq +1.04%. 6 of 11 of the S&P 500 sectors higher: Information Technology outperforms/ Energy lags. On the upside, mega cap growth rallied continued with NY FANG+ > 1.9%, the Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) >1%. Treasury Yields, … Read more
A key indices analysis refers to the examination of various financial indices that are commonly used to measure the performance and trends of financial markets or specific sectors within the markets. Analyzing key indices over different time frames, such as one month and six months, can provide insights into short-term and medium-term market movements. However, … Read more
MARKETS TODAY May 10th, 2023 (Vica Partners) Yesterday, US Markets finished lower the S&P 500 -0.46%, DOW -0.17% and Nasdaq -0.63%. 9 of 11 of the S&P 500 sectors declined: Information Technology underperformed/ Industrials outperformed. Mega cap growth lagged as the Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) was off 1.70%. Yields, Oil and Gold advanced. Overnight/Premarket, Asian markets … Read more