Matthew Krumholz 
May 1, 2025 | VICA Research Weekly Snapshot VMSI Score: 35.2 (Defensive) S&P 500: +0.36% | Nasdaq: +1.52% | Dow: +0.21% VIX: 24.60 Momentum: 39.6 | Liquidity: 33.1 | Volatility: 55.8 | Safe Haven Demand: 73.5 Despite another strong equity advance, the VICA Market Sentiment Index (VMSI) remains anchored in the Defensive Zone, highlighting continued … Read more
Executive Summary April 2025 marks a critical inflection point in the U.S. housing market. After years of constrained supply, inventory is rising sharply—up 11% year-over-year. More homes are hitting the market in 2025. Inventory is up 11% as mortgage lock-ins fade, younger generations downsize, and builders deliver new homes. Rising costs and future fears are … Read more
(VICA Research | April 27, 2025) Capital moves before narratives confirm. April’s early market fractures point to a liquidity-driven regime transition — a structural realignment that capital allocators must recognize before sentiment data validates the shift. Executive Summary The most consequential shift in global finance is unfolding silently: a liquidity cycle inflection, not captured by … Read more
April 24, 2025 | VICA Research Weekly Snapshot VMSI Score: 31.2 (Defensive) S&P 500: +2.03% | Nasdaq: +2.74% | Dow: +1.23% VIX: 26.49 Momentum: 37 | Liquidity: 29.4 | Volatility: 59 | Safe Haven Demand: 78 Despite sharp intraday equity gains, the VICA Market Sentiment Index confirms that institutional behavior remains deeply risk-averse. Volatility persists, … Read more
What is VMSI? The VICA Market Sentiment Index tracks institutional capital flows, risk posture, and macro volatility weekly. Built for tactical allocation — not behavioral shifts. VMSI Gauge Chart — Displaying Current Sentiment and Risk Level The VMSI gauge indicates a current sentiment score of 25.2, still deep within the Critical Risk Zone. The dial … Read more
VICA Partners Intelligence | April 2025 A regime transition in capital allocation is underway—and the smartest money is leading the shift. Executive Summary Market stress has returned—policy fragility, terminal rate confusion, cross-asset volatility, and margin degradation across risk assets are all colliding. But while passive capital seeks narrative comfort, strategic capital is executing a controlled … Read more
VMSI Gauge Chart — Displaying Current Sentiment and Risk Level The VMSI gauge indicates a current sentiment score of 22.4, placing it deep within the Critical Risk Zone. The dial now sits firmly in the red quadrant, underscoring a decisive shift into extreme risk-off conditions. One week ago, sentiment stood at 32.5, one month ago … Read more
WALL STREET DOESN’T FUND COLLEGE — IT PROFITS FROM IT ABSTRACT As both a parent and a professional operating at the highest level of understanding institutional ROI strategy, this is not anecdotal advice — it’s capital logic. While most families treat tuition as a sentimental cost, Wall Street treats it as a structured revenue engine. … Read more
VMSI Gauge Chart — Displaying Current Sentiment and Risk Level The VMSI gauge shows a sentiment score of 32.5, placing it in the Critical Risk Zone. The dial points into the red “Critical” sector, reflecting extreme risk aversion. The gauge’s quadrants (green for expansionary confidence, yellow for cautious optimism, orange for defensive, red for critical … Read more
VICA Research – April 3, 2025 In this analysis, we break down the real-time market impact of President Trump’s sweeping tariff announcement. With sharp declines across the S&P 500, NASDAQ, and Dow, and technical indicators confirming a structural shift, this piece offers a concise yet comprehensive look at why this isn’t a correction—but a full … Read more