Decades of Market Insights: S&P 500 Trends and Strategies

Decades in Review: Unveiling Stock Market Insights

Exploring the S&P 500’s performance across various timelines offers a concise glimpse into market trends.

30-Year Snapshot: Stability Amid Growth

Over the last 30 years, up to September 2023, the S&P 500’s annualized return stands at 9.862%, assuming reinvested dividends. Adjusted for inflation, it holds steady at 7.146%. Without dividends, the figures are 7.831% and 5.165%, respectively.

20-Year Perspective: Finding Balance

In the preceding two decades, the S&P 500 shows a 9.66% average yearly return, incorporating reinvested dividends. Adjusted for inflation, this stabilizes at 6.915%. Excluding dividends, the annualized return is 7.597%, with an inflation-adjusted figure of 4.904%.

A Decade in Focus: The Roaring 2010s

In the most recent 10 years leading to September 2023, the S&P 500 impresses with a 12.078% average yearly return (assuming reinvested dividends). Factoring in inflation, this robustly adjusts to 9.066%. Without dividends, the annualized return is 10.083%, with an inflation-adjusted value of 7.124%.

5-Year Exploration: Recent Trends

Examining the last five years, the S&P 500 delivers a 10.495% average yearly return, considering reinvested dividends. With inflation adjustments, this figure drops to 6.221%. Without dividends, the annualized return is 8.729%, and inflation-adjusted, it is 4.523%.

Market Realities: Beyond the Numbers

While statistics highlight consistent growth, the stock market’s non-linear trajectory is evident. Historical leaps occurred the 80s-90s, and the stretch from 2010 to 2021. Despite a dip in 2022 and early 2023, the market rebounded, remaining below previous highs.

Factors Shaping Returns

Considerations for long-term returns include minimizing expenses, reinvesting dividends, and recognizing portfolio composition impacts returns. Inflation’s impact emphasizes the need to stay ahead, with the S&P 500 historically outpacing inflation.

 

 

Journal

News

The Fade That Wasn’t: Why Convexity Keeps Pullbacks From Breaking the Market

VMSI Institutional Market Intelligence Report — Week Ending September 4, 2025 Source: VICA Partners VMSI © — Data: Proprietary models ...
News

Institutions Hold Firm as Powell Looms, Macro Forces Still Favor Risk

VMSI Institutional Market Intelligence Report — August 28, 2025 Source: VICA Partners VMSI © — Data: Proprietary models & public ...
VMSI INDEX

Institutions Balance Risk Ahead of Powell as Macro Support Holds

VMSI Institutional Market Intelligence Report — August 21, 2025 Source: VICA Partners VMSI © — Data: Proprietary models & public ...