Dow Gains as Energy Sector Rebounds, Mega Cap Tech Loses Early Gains and Selloff Late in Session

MARKETS TODAY June 7th, 2023 (Vica Partners)

Yesterday, US markets finished higher, S&P 500 +0.24%, DOW +0.03% and the Nasdaq +0.36%. 6 of 11 of the S&P 500 sectors advance: Financials +1.33% outperforms/ Health Care -0.88% lags. On the upside, Russell 2k/ Small Cap Stocks, USD Index, Gold, Bitcoin and the Bloomberg Commodity Index.  In economic news, no domestic report releases.

Overnight/US Premarket, Asian markets finished mixed, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng +0.80%, China’s Shanghai Composite +0.08% and Japan’s Nikkei 225 -1.82%. US S&P futures were trading at 0.1% below fair value. European markets finished lower,  Germany’s DAX -0.20%, France’s CAC 40 -0.09% and London’s FTSE 100 -0.05%.

Today US Markets finished mixed, S&P 500 -0.38%, DOW +0.27% and the Nasdaq-1.29%. 6 of 11 of the S&P 500 sectors lower: Energy +2.65% outperforms/ Communication Services -1.87% lags. On the upside, Russell 2k, Treasury Yields, Brent Oil and the Bloomberg Commodity Index. In economic news, the trade deficit in the US narrowly missed estimates and U.S. consumer-credit growth in April moderately exceeding estimates.

Takeaways

  • Fear and Greed Index/ Extreme Greed
  • Can 9 Tech Mega Caps Growths continue to drive bull market?
  • Russell 2000 (RUT) leads Indices +1.8%
  • Small Caps outperform/ growth +1.4%, value +1.8%
  • FANG+ lags, down 2.9%
  • 6 of 11 of the S&P 500 sectors lower: Energy +2.65% outperforms/ Communication Services -1.87% lags
  • SPDR S&P Banking ETF (KRE) +>3.3%
  • Brown Forman A (BFa),beats and Campbell Soup (CPB), misses on earnings

Pro Tip: Stock shorting/short selling, can be beneficial for financial markets; a) Pricing/ Value – shorts incorporate negative information into the stock’s price, which can contribute to a more accurate valuation b) Allocation of Capital – shorts redirect capital away from overvalued or underperforming stocks c) Market Liquidity – shorts provide additional sell-side liquidity, which can facilitate smoother and more efficient trading (learn more here)

Sectors/ Commodities/ Treasuries         

Key Indexes (50d, 100d, 200d)

 

S&P Sectors

  • 6 of 11 of the S&P 500 sectors lower: Energy +2.65%,  Real Estate +1.75% and Utilities +1.70% outperform/ Communication Services -1.87%, Information Technology -1.62% lag

Commodities

Factor/ Mega Cap Growth Chart (YTD)

US Treasuries

 Notable Earnings Today  

  • +Beat: Brown Forman A (BFa), Ollies Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc (OLLI)
  • Miss: Campbell Soup (CPB), United Natural Foods (UNFI)
  • * Strong support – NVIDIA (NVDA), Meta Platforms (META), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG,GOOGL), Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Tesla (TSLA), Taiwan Semi (TSM), ASML Holding NV (ASML), UI Path (PATH)

Economic Data

US

  • Mortgage Apps; act -1.4%. prev. -3.7%
  • US. trade deficit; period April, act $-76.4B, fc -$75.2B, prev. -$60.6B
  • Consumer credit; period April, act 23.0 B , fc $22.0B, prev. $22.83B

News

Company News

  • Mercedes Teams Up With Green Steelmaker to Slash Emissions – WSJ
  • Google DeepMind Unveils AI System to Discover Faster Algorithms – WSJ

Energy/ Materials

  • Here’s What Refining Margins Say About the State of the Oil Market – Bloomberg
  • US crude inventories notch surprise drawdown on refinery runs –EIA – Reuters

Central Banks/Inflation/Labor Market

  • Bank of Canada Upends Markets by Boosting Policy Rate to 4.75% – Bloomberg
  • Fed seen on hold in June, but one-third of economists expect a hike soon – Reuters

China

  • China Posts Robust Commodities Imports Despite Stuttering Growth – Bloomberg
  • China’s EV Juggernaut Is a Warning for the West – WSJ

Journal

News

VMSI Edges Up to 25.2, But Market Remains Deep in Risk-Off Territory

What is VMSI? The VICA Market Sentiment Index tracks institutional capital flows, risk posture, and macro volatility weekly. Built for ...
News

Institutional Allocators Aren’t Watching Volatility—They’re Designing Into It

VICA Partners Intelligence | April 2025 A regime transition in capital allocation is underway—and the smartest money is leading the ...
News

VMSI Drops to 22.4 as Risk-Off Accelerates and Volatility Deepens

VMSI Gauge Chart — Displaying Current Sentiment and Risk Level The VMSI gauge indicates a current sentiment score of 22.4, ...