Dow Jumps, Small Caps Rally, Bonds Retreat, US Sales Beat Consensus

Stay Informed and Stay Ahead: Market Watch, July 16th, 2024.

Early-Week Wall Street Markets

Key Takeaways

+ DOW, S&P 500, NASDAQ up; Russell 2k outperforms; Industrials led; top industry: Passenger Airlines.

+ June Retail Sales beat forecasts; the July Homebuilder confidence index sluggish and down from June.

+ Long-term yields pullback more than short-term. Small-caps value rally, crude oil, Brent crude, gold, silver, and copper rose. Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3X up 10.22% on solid 39.2M volume. UnitedHealth (UNH) big earnings beat.

Summary of Market Performance

Indices & Sectors Performance:

  • Today, major US stock indices—DOW, S&P 500, NASDAQ—up. Russell 2k outperforms.  Among eleven sectors, nine gain. Industrials led, Communication Services AND Information Tech trailed. Top industries: Passenger Airlines Industry (+5.80%), Household Durables Industry (+5.68%) and Health Care Providers & Services Industry (+4.33%).

Chart: Performance of Major Indices

Moving Average Analysis:

S&P 500 Sectors:

  • Among eleven sectors, nine gain. Industrials led; Communication Services trailed.

Economic Highlights:

  • June’s Retail Sales beat forecasts, with the July Home builder confidence index down from June.

NASDAQ Global Market Update:

  • NASDAQ showed positive sentiment with a total share volume of 5.81 billion, 517 new highs, 33 new lows, and an advance/decline ratio of 3.47/ NVIDIA and Tesla led active company trading.

Treasury Markets:

  • Long-term yields dropped more significantly than short-term yields, indicating a decrease in market expectations for future interest rates. The 30-year bond yield fell by 0.088%, while the 1-month bill yield decreased by 0.006%.

Market Factors:

  • Small-cap value stocks rose 2.9%, while mega-cap growth declined <0.6%>.

Currency & Volatility:

  • The VIX moderately rose to 13.19, while the Fear & Greed Index rose to 64 (Greed).

Commodities & ETFs:

  • Commodity markets: Crude oil, Brent crude, gold, silver, and copper up, while natural gas, unleaded gasoline, and wheat down. Corn rose. Bloomberg Commodity Index slightly down.

  • ETFs: Direxion Daily Regional Banks Bull 3X +13.76% on 3.7M volume; Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3X +10.22% on 39.2M volume.

Cryptocurrency Update:

  • Bitcoin rose $248 to $64,966, Ethereum saw moderate gains, and ZCash was up 1.38%.

Stocks:

  • NaaS Technology Inc. ADR (NAAS) jumped 66.43% on 22.5M volume.

 Notable Earnings:

  • UnitedHealth (UNH), Bank of America (BAC), Morgan Stanley (MS) beat.

Global Markets Summary:

  • Asia mixed, Nikkei up 0.20%, Hang Seng down 1.60%; Europe declined.

In the NEWS:

Central Banking, Monetary Policy & Economics:

  • Pro Take: The Yield Curve Hasn’t Been Alone in Predicting a Recession – WSJ
  • US Retail Sales Excluding Autos Rise by Most in Three Months – Bloomberg

Business:

  • J.B. Hunt Profit Falls as Rates, Freight Volumes Tumble – WSJ
  • Spirit Air Warns of Revenue Drop on Lower Bag, Seating Fees – Bloomberg

China:

  • China’s third plenum: Xi Jinping tells party to show ‘unwavering faith’ in reform plan – SCMP

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