Dow Rises 317 Points as U.S. Equities Breadth Improves, Q2 Earnings Kickoff Friday

MARKETS TODAY July 11th, 2023 (Vica Partners)

Overnight/US Premarket, Asian markets finished higher,  Hong Kong’s Hang Seng +0.97%, China’s Shanghai Composite +0.55%, Japan’s Nikkei 225 +0.04%. European markets finished higher, France’s CAC 40 +1.07%, Germany’s DAX +0.75%, London’s FTSE 100 +0.12%. S&P futures were trading at +0.1% above fair value.

Today US Markets finished higher, S&P 500 +0.67%, DOW +0.93%, NASDAQ +0.55%. 10 of 11 S&P 500 sectors advancing: Energy +2.20% outperforms/ Health Care 0.00% lags. On the upside, DOW leads majors, Russell 2k, S&P Banking ETF ^KRE, IPO’S, Front End Treasuries Yields, Gold, Bitcoin, Bloomberg Commodity Index. In economic news, the NFIB Business Optimism Index with a beat as it reached a 7-month high in June.

Takeaways

  • S. small businesses more optimistic
  • DOW +0.93% leads majors, Russell 2k +0.96%
  • 10 of 11 S&P 500 sectors advancing: Energy +2.20% outperforms/ Health Care 0.00% lags
  • S&P Banking ETF ^KRE +1.34%
  • Front-end yields rise
  • Nordic Semiconductor (NDCVF) with earnings beat
  • Pivotal CPI data on Wednesday
  • Q2 earnings session kickoff on Friday

Pro Tip (reiterate): The 52 economists surveyed by the Wall Street Journal each month predicted that the economy would move into a recession in Q3 of 2008. However, in Sept, the last month Q3, the average 52 economists forecast continuing growth for Q3, Q4 of 2008.

The average, real GDP in the United States has grown at a rate of over 3% per year since 1960.

Sectors/ Commodities/ Treasuries  

Key Indexes (5d, 20d, 50d, 100d, 200d)

S&P Sectors

  • 10 of 11 S&P 500 sectors advancing: Energy +2.20% outperforms/ Health Care 0.00% lags.

Factors

US Treasuries

Vica Partner Guidance July ‘23: Mega and Large Cap Growth continues to look attractive in early Q3. Highlighting Lithium Miners. Nasdaq 100^NDX 14,500 level is a buying opportunity. Undervaluation of Japanese equities, upside for Chinese Mega Cap Tech. Q3/4 2023/ credit default swap (CDS) will pick-up. We continue to emphasize business quality and strength of balance sheet for all investments.

Notable Earnings Today  

  • +Beat: Nordic Semiconductor (NDCVF)
  • Miss: E2open Parent Holdings (ETWO)
  • Pending: Commer Intl Bank (CMGGF)
  • * Strong support – NVIDIA (NVDA), Meta Platforms (META), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL), Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Tesla (TSLA), Taiwan Semi (TSM), ASML Holding NV (ASML), Sociedad Quimica y Minera (SQM), Nordic Semiconductor (NDCVF)

Economic Data

US

  • Consumer Credit Change; act $7.24B, fc $20.25B, prior $20.32B
  • NFIB optimism index; period June, act 91, fc 89.6, prior 89.4act -0.2%, fc -0.2, prior -0.1%

News

Company News/ Other

  • Amazon’s Prime Day to Test Consumer Demand – WSJ
  • The Next Challengers Joining Nvidia in the AI Chip Revolution – WSJ

Energy/ Materials

  • China Controls Minerals That Run the World—and It Just Fired a Warning Shot at U.S. – WSJ
  • ESG Debate Finds a Few US Politicians Open to Frank Discussions – Bloomberg

Central Banks/Inflation/Labor Market

  • Bank of Canada Set to Hike Rates Again Amid Inflation Slog – Bloomberg
  • Historic Rate Increases Leave Some on Wall Street Wanting More – WSJ

Asia/ China 

  • Apple woos Chinese consumers on Tencent super app WeChat with new mini-program – SCMP
  • EU’s trade-focused climate policy seen as ‘new tariff barrier’ in China economic circles – SCMP

Journal

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