Dow, S&P 500 Realize Weekly Losses; Michigan Consumer Survey Showed Big Declines

MARKETS TODAY May 12th, 2023 (Vica Partners)

Yesterday, US Markets finished mixed S&P 500 -0.17%, DOW -0.66% and the Nasdaq +0.18%. 8 of 11 of the S&P 500 sectors lower: Materials and Energy underperformed/ Communication Services outperformed. Mega cap growth tech continued to gain with NY FANG+ 0.90%. Treasury Yields, Gold, Bitcoin and Oil all declined. In economic news, wholesale prices rose less than estimate, weekly unemployment claims came in higher.

Overnight/Premarket, Asian markets finished mixed, Japan’s Nikkei 225 +0.90%, Shanghai Composite -1.12% and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng -0.70%. European markets finished higher, Germany’s DAX +0.46%, London’s FTSE 100 +0.42% and France’s CAC 40 +0.40%.  US futures were trading at 0.3% above fair-value.

Today, US Markets finished marginally lower S&P 500 -0.16%, DOW -0.03% and the Nasdaq -0.35%. 9 of 11 of the S&P 500 sectors lower: Utilities +0.63% outperforms/ Financials -0.57% and Real Estate -0.52% lag. On the upside, Treasury Yields and the USD Index gained. Gold, Bitcoin and Oil all declined. In economic news, US Import Prices for April beat estimates while Export Prices in-line.  Michigan Survey showed declining consumer sentiment.

Takeaways

  • Michigan Consumer Survey weighs on market
  • Weekly performance, S&P 500 -0.31%, DOW -1.23% and the Nasdaq +0.43%
  • DOW slips under 100 moving average
  • 9 of 11 of the S&P 500 sectors finished lower: Financials underperform/ Utilities outperforms
  • Mega cap growth declines
  • Regional Banking SPDR S&P Banking ETF (KR) moderates +0.64%
  • Nippon ADR (NTTYY) misses, Kubota ADR (KUBTY) beats earnings
  • Debt ceiling is headline banter!

Pro Tip:  The artificial intelligence market size is expected to grow from >US$89 billion in 2022 to >US$407 billion by 2027, at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 36.2% during the forecast period. Over the past 15 years, Nasdaq 100 has delivered a CAGR of around 16%, while S&P 500 has returned about 8%. More details in link above.

Sectors/ Commodities/ Treasuries 

Key Indexes (50d, 100d, 200d)

S&P Sectors

  • 9 of 11 of the S&P 500 sectors finish lower: Utilities +0.63% outperforms/ Financials -0.57% and Real Estate -0.52% lag.

Commodities

Factors/Mega Cap Growth (YTD)

US Treasuries

Notable Earnings Today  

  • +Beat: Shiseido Company (SSDOY), Kubota ADR (KUBTY)
  • Miss: Nippon ADR (NTTYY), AngloGold Ashanti ADR (AU), Allianz ADR (ALIZY), Isuzu Motors (ISUZY), Rakuten ADR (RKUNY)
  • * Strong support – NVIDIA (NVDA), Analog Devices (ADI), Meta Platforms (META), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG,GOOGL), Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Tesla (TSLA), Taiwan Semi (TSM), ASML Holding NV (ASML),

Economic Data

US

  • Import price index; period April, act 0.4%, fc 0.3%, prev. -0.6%
  • Import price index minus fuel; period April, act 0. prev. -0.5%
  • Consumer sentiment (preliminary); period May, act 57.7, fc 63.0, prev. 63.5

News

Company News/ Other

  • Netflix Plans to Cut Spending by $300 Million in 2023 – WSJ
  • Chinese tech giant Baidu embeds ChatGPT-like service on flagship search engine as global race to bring similar tools to market heats up – SCMP

Central Banks/Inflation/Labor Market

  • Jim Bullard’s Speeches, Presentations and Commentary – SaintLouis Fed
  • Surveys of Consumers Michigan – U Mich
  • G7 finance chiefs debate reducing supply chain reliance on China – Reuters

China

  • ‘De-Americanize’: How China Is Remaking Its Chip Business – NY Times
  • China’s Copper Woes Damp Spirits of Traders in Asia – Bloomberg

Journal

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