Journal

VMSI INDEX

CPI: Expected, Priced, Done

July CPI: +0.2% MoM, 2.7% YoY (unchanged from June). Core CPI: +0.3% MoM, 3.1% YoY. Key Data Points from July ...
News

Quiet Acceleration: VMSI Signals Measured Force Into Growth Risk

VICA Research — Volatility & Market Sentiment Index (VMSI©) “Directional force is building across the tape — but not indiscriminately. ...
News

Kahneman Meets Newton: Behavioral Bias and Capital Physics in the August 2025 Market

Executive Summary As of August 1, 2025, the VMSI® composite score sits at 59.8, its highest level since Q1. Institutions ...
VMSI INDEX

Markets Bet on Fed Cut — But Institutions Are Already Moving

August 4, 2025 | VICA Macro Strategy Note By Matthew Krumholz | Source: VICA Partners Executive Summary A sharp drop ...
News

What Markets Don’t See: Why Markets Discount Physics and Intelligence

By Matthew Krumholz | VICA Partners The Core Error Markets, even at their most sophisticated, remain anchored in what is ...
VMSI INDEX

Quiet Confidence: VMSI Signals Institutions Are Moving First

VICA Partners | July 31, 2025, VICA Research — Volatility & Market Sentiment Index (VMSI©) “Institutional positioning continued to build ...
VMSI INDEX

Cyclicals Lead, Hedging Slows, VMSI Signals Institutional Confidence Growing

July 24, 2025 | VICA Research — Volatility & Market Sentiment Index |  VICA Partners’ VMSI© (Volatility & Market Sentiment ...
VMSI INDEX

Housing Market: Late-Cycle Strain, Repricing Likely by 2026

Sources: National Association of REALTORS®, BLS, VMSI The U.S. housing market is showing clear late-cycle characteristics. Prices remain elevated, yet ...
News

Mandate Clarity Is Monetary Power

By VICA Partners | July 2025(Peer-reviewed by institutional market strategists and asset managers) The Federal Reserve’s policy efficacy is increasingly ...
VMSI INDEX

Conviction Builds as Volatility Slides and Rotation Widens

VMSI Edges to 57.4 as Breadth Firms, Tactical Hedging Further Fades, July 17, 2025 | VICA Research — Volatility & ...
VMSI INDEX

Conviction Builds as Volatility Slides and Cyclical Rotation Gains Strength

VMSI Edges to 57.0 as Breadth Expands, Hedging Costs Slide Further July 10, 2025 | VICA Research — Volatility & ...
News

SIGNAL FOR THE MANY — NOT THE FEW

The VOLATILITY & MARKET SENTIMENT INDEX (VMSI©) is VICA Partners’ freely‑available, institution‑grade lens on market risk and opportunity. It captures where capital is moving now and where ...