Stocks pullback today as Markets cautious of Wednesday’s Federal Reserve’s rate hike

MARKETS TODAY Jan 30 (Vica Partners)

DOW (^DJI) 33,717 (-261), S&P 500 (^GSPC) 4,018 (-53), Nasdaq (^IXIC) 11,394 (-228), Russell 2000 (^RUT) 1,890 (-22), NYSE FANG+ (^NYFANG) 5,192 (-164), Brent Crude $84.94/barrel (-$1.72), Gold $1,923/oz (-$6), Bitcoin $22.8k (-$967)

Session Overview

  • Key Indexes decline
  • Yields up
  • Nasdaq falls below 200d moving average
  • 10 of 11 S&P 500 Sectors lower: Communication Services led underperformance, Consumer Staples outperform
  • 20% of companies in the S&P 500 to report this week
  • Earning beat/ NXP Semiconductors (NXPI), GE HealthCare Technologies (GEHC) Earnings miss/ Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE), Whirlpool Corporation (WHR)
  • Fed will probably hike 25bps Wednesday
  • Look for Fed chief to play down market optimism and pay attention to the labor market data “employee cost index” as it will be important this week

Technicals/ Sector Performance/ Yields+

Index Moving Averages

S&P 500 Index ($SPX) close 4,018+/ 50 Day 3,944+/ 100 Day 3,869+/ 200 Day 3,956+

Dow Jones In ($DOWI) close 33,717+/ 50 Day 33,633+/ 100 Day 32,354+/ 200 Day 32,347+

Nasdaq Co ($NASX) close 11,394+/ 50 Day 10,960+/ 100 Day 10,981+/ 200 Day 11,497-

10 of 11 S&P 500 Sectors lower: Communication Services led underperformance, Consumer Staples outperforms

The Communication Services and Information Technology sectors were the biggest decliners s, down 2.04% and 1.90% respectively. The best performing sectors was Consumer Staples, up 0.17%.

Yields rise: US – 2yr to 4.244%+, 5yr to 3.669%+, 10yr to 3.544%+, 30yr to 3.659%+

Greed Index Rating 67/ Greed

Notable Company Earnings

  • Beats / NXP Semiconductors N.V.(NXPI), GE HealthCare Technologies Inc. (GEHC), Canon, Inc. (CAJ), Ryanair Holdings plc (RYAAY)
  • Misses/ Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. (ARE), Franklin Resources, Inc. (BEN), Whirlpool Corporation (WHR).

Tomorrow/ United Parcel Service (UPS), McDonalds (MCD), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Exxon Mobil (XOM), Caterpillar (CAT), Pfizer (PFE), Electronic Arts (EA)

U.S Economic News

  • None scheduled today

Later this Week: Tue/ home prices, consumer confidence. Wed /employment, job openings, manufacturing, Jerome Powell. Thurs/ unemployment, productivity, orders. Fri/ payrolls, earnings, services

Economic Summary

  • Weekly inflation data indicates that economy is slowing
  • A third of companies in the S&P 500 have released results ~69% of companies that have reported have beaten estimates by an average of 1.5%.
  • The labor market remains resilient
  • Consumer, bank and payments report spending has moderated
  • A shift from goods to services with travel biz robust
  • Supply chains continue improve
  • Resource and other demand returning from China

Other Asset Classes:

  • CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX): +1.40 to 19.93
  • USD index: +$0.33 to $102.26
  • Oil prices: Brent: -1.98% to $84.94, WTI: -2.33% to $77.82, Nat Gas: -6.14% to $2.674
  • Gold: -0.32% to $1,922.65, Silver: -0.24% to $23.59, Copper: -0.94% to $4.18
  • Bitcoin: -4.07% to $22.8k

Business News  

  • Adani Backed by UAE Royals Buying $400 Million in Share Sale bloomberg
  • Paxlovid sales forecasts may change with Pfizer view on China reuters
  • Oil falls as rate hikes loom and Russian flows stay strong reuters
  • TikTok CEO to testify before U.S. Congress over security concerns reuters

Vica Momentum Stock Report

Unilever Plc ADR (UL) $UL. (Momentum B+) (Value B) (Growth A), moving averages50 Day +4.89%, 100 Day +12.19%, 200 Day +12.95%, Year-to-Date -0.18%

Unilever PLC is a fast-moving global consumer goods company. It operates through Beauty & Personal Care, Foods & Refreshment, and Home Care segments. The Beauty & Personal Care segment provides skin care and hair care products, deodorants, and skin cleansing products. The Foods & Refreshment segment offers ice cream, soups, bouillons, seasonings, mayonnaise, ketchups, and other assorted categories.

 

Market Outlook

Market Outlook and updates posted at vicapartners.com

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