Stocks pullback today as Markets cautious of Wednesday’s Federal Reserve’s rate hike

MARKETS TODAY Jan 30 (Vica Partners)

DOW (^DJI) 33,717 (-261), S&P 500 (^GSPC) 4,018 (-53), Nasdaq (^IXIC) 11,394 (-228), Russell 2000 (^RUT) 1,890 (-22), NYSE FANG+ (^NYFANG) 5,192 (-164), Brent Crude $84.94/barrel (-$1.72), Gold $1,923/oz (-$6), Bitcoin $22.8k (-$967)

Session Overview

  • Key Indexes decline
  • Yields up
  • Nasdaq falls below 200d moving average
  • 10 of 11 S&P 500 Sectors lower: Communication Services led underperformance, Consumer Staples outperform
  • 20% of companies in the S&P 500 to report this week
  • Earning beat/ NXP Semiconductors (NXPI), GE HealthCare Technologies (GEHC) Earnings miss/ Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE), Whirlpool Corporation (WHR)
  • Fed will probably hike 25bps Wednesday
  • Look for Fed chief to play down market optimism and pay attention to the labor market data “employee cost index” as it will be important this week

Technicals/ Sector Performance/ Yields+

Index Moving Averages

S&P 500 Index ($SPX) close 4,018+/ 50 Day 3,944+/ 100 Day 3,869+/ 200 Day 3,956+

Dow Jones In ($DOWI) close 33,717+/ 50 Day 33,633+/ 100 Day 32,354+/ 200 Day 32,347+

Nasdaq Co ($NASX) close 11,394+/ 50 Day 10,960+/ 100 Day 10,981+/ 200 Day 11,497-

10 of 11 S&P 500 Sectors lower: Communication Services led underperformance, Consumer Staples outperforms

The Communication Services and Information Technology sectors were the biggest decliners s, down 2.04% and 1.90% respectively. The best performing sectors was Consumer Staples, up 0.17%.

Yields rise: US – 2yr to 4.244%+, 5yr to 3.669%+, 10yr to 3.544%+, 30yr to 3.659%+

Greed Index Rating 67/ Greed

Notable Company Earnings

  • Beats / NXP Semiconductors N.V.(NXPI), GE HealthCare Technologies Inc. (GEHC), Canon, Inc. (CAJ), Ryanair Holdings plc (RYAAY)
  • Misses/ Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. (ARE), Franklin Resources, Inc. (BEN), Whirlpool Corporation (WHR).

Tomorrow/ United Parcel Service (UPS), McDonalds (MCD), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Exxon Mobil (XOM), Caterpillar (CAT), Pfizer (PFE), Electronic Arts (EA)

U.S Economic News

  • None scheduled today

Later this Week: Tue/ home prices, consumer confidence. Wed /employment, job openings, manufacturing, Jerome Powell. Thurs/ unemployment, productivity, orders. Fri/ payrolls, earnings, services

Economic Summary

  • Weekly inflation data indicates that economy is slowing
  • A third of companies in the S&P 500 have released results ~69% of companies that have reported have beaten estimates by an average of 1.5%.
  • The labor market remains resilient
  • Consumer, bank and payments report spending has moderated
  • A shift from goods to services with travel biz robust
  • Supply chains continue improve
  • Resource and other demand returning from China

Other Asset Classes:

  • CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX): +1.40 to 19.93
  • USD index: +$0.33 to $102.26
  • Oil prices: Brent: -1.98% to $84.94, WTI: -2.33% to $77.82, Nat Gas: -6.14% to $2.674
  • Gold: -0.32% to $1,922.65, Silver: -0.24% to $23.59, Copper: -0.94% to $4.18
  • Bitcoin: -4.07% to $22.8k

Business News  

  • Adani Backed by UAE Royals Buying $400 Million in Share Sale bloomberg
  • Paxlovid sales forecasts may change with Pfizer view on China reuters
  • Oil falls as rate hikes loom and Russian flows stay strong reuters
  • TikTok CEO to testify before U.S. Congress over security concerns reuters

Vica Momentum Stock Report

Unilever Plc ADR (UL) $UL. (Momentum B+) (Value B) (Growth A), moving averages50 Day +4.89%, 100 Day +12.19%, 200 Day +12.95%, Year-to-Date -0.18%

Unilever PLC is a fast-moving global consumer goods company. It operates through Beauty & Personal Care, Foods & Refreshment, and Home Care segments. The Beauty & Personal Care segment provides skin care and hair care products, deodorants, and skin cleansing products. The Foods & Refreshment segment offers ice cream, soups, bouillons, seasonings, mayonnaise, ketchups, and other assorted categories.

 

Market Outlook

Market Outlook and updates posted at vicapartners.com

Journal

VMSI INDEX

Capital Turns a Corner: Institutions Begin to Lean In

VMSI Climbs to 52.7 as Institutions Shift Toward Cautious Optimism June 5, 2025 | VICA Research VICA Partners Research’s VMSI ...
RESEARCH

Why the Debt Alarm Is the Best News for Long-Term Investors in a Decade

By VICA Partners | June 2025 Every few years, financial headlines rediscover U.S. government debt. The tone is always urgent. ...
News

Cautious Confidence Builds as VMSI Brushes Recovery Line

Cautious Optimism Builds as Defensive Posture Persists May 30, 2025 | VICA Research VICA Partners Research’s VMSI © shows where ...