Why the Federal Reserve Confirmed the July 75-Basis-Point Interest Rate Increase

INVESTOR SERIES

Federal Reserve officials signaled on Friday they will likely stick with a 75-basis-point interest rate increase at their July 26-27 meeting, though a recent high inflation reading could still warrant more, or faster, increases later in the year.

Friday economic data

Economic data released on Friday pushed against a rush to larger rate hikes as retail sales rebounded in June, though they were down slightly on an inflation-adjusted basis.  The New York Fed manufacturing index registered unexpected gains which supports the Fed’s three rate hikes this year.

Federal Reserve Bank Presidents…  

Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic cautioned against the central bank moving too quickly because it could undermine the strong hiring and other positive trends still seen in the economy.

Look for target federal funds rate to a range of between 3.75% and 4.00% by the end of this year.

Leave a Comment

Journal

VMSI INDEX

Cyclicals Lead, Hedging Slows, VMSI Signals Institutional Confidence Growing

July 24, 2025 | VICA Research — Volatility & Market Sentiment Index |  VICA Partners’ VMSI© (Volatility & Market Sentiment ...
VMSI INDEX

Housing Market: Late-Cycle Strain, Repricing Likely by 2026

Sources: National Association of REALTORS®, BLS, VMSI The U.S. housing market is showing clear late-cycle characteristics. Prices remain elevated, yet ...
News

Mandate Clarity Is Monetary Power

By VICA Partners | July 2025(Peer-reviewed by institutional market strategists and asset managers) The Federal Reserve’s policy efficacy is increasingly ...